Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://cide.repositorioinstitucional.mx/jspui/handle/1011/324
The twin uncertainty of authoritarian regimes
Andreas Schedler
Acceso Abierto
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas
Authoritarianism
Opposition (Political science)
Authoritarian rulers have a twin problem of uncertainty. They have a problem of “institutional uncertainty.” Their survival in power is insecure. And they have a problem of “informational uncertainty.” The foundations of their political survival are opaque. In this paper, I outline a framework for analysis that places the competitive struggle over these uncertainties at the core of competitive struggles over authoritarian stability and change. After discussing the multi-layered sources of institutional uncertainties as well as the theatrical consequences of epistemic uncertainties, I lay out the twin challenges these twin uncertainties involve for regime as well as opposition actors: the construction of political realities and the construction of political appearances.
Los gobiernos autoritarios tienen un doble problema de incertidumbre. Su continuidad en el poder es insegura (“incertidumbre institucional”) y las bases de su poder son opacas (“incertidumbre informativa”). Como argumenta el presente documento, la competencia entre gobierno y oposición por esta doble incertidumbre está en el corazón mismo de sus luchas por la estabilidad y el cambio de régimen.
2012
Documento de trabajo
Inglés
Estudiantes
Investigadores
CIENCIAS SOCIALES
Appears in Collections:Divisón de Estudios Políticos, Documentos de Trabajo

Upload archives


File Description SizeFormat 
000112412_documento.pdfDocumento electrónico339.29 kBAdobe PDFView/Open